Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.835243 1.054238 1.298281 1.587578 1.918350 2.282058 2.709499
2025-07-27 0.511187 0.781575 1.120118 1.562175 2.111401 2.759290 3.569048
2025-08-03 0.310360 0.585874 0.974918 1.531189 2.274043 3.201978 4.418215
2025-08-10 0.195974 0.462540 0.886524 1.544551 2.478410 3.699554 5.359479
2025-08-17 0.112656 0.348491 0.777077 1.500376 2.588511 4.072229 6.155051
2025-08-24 0.074969 0.297959 0.751959 1.570060 2.855090 4.660286 7.251480
2025-08-31 0.043821 0.239743 0.694991 1.575140 3.019943 5.110282 8.176062
2025-09-07 0.029636 0.215050 0.693997 1.669709 3.322455 5.762941 9.394993
2025-09-14 0.018247 0.187027 0.677036 1.730731 3.572235 6.345992 10.532311
2025-09-21 0.009800 0.157154 0.645732 1.758323 3.765817 6.850138 11.569799
2025-09-28 0.003858 0.122958 0.590447 1.729176 3.859120 7.203778 12.398862
2025-10-05 0.001510 0.103298 0.566164 1.756776 4.046994 7.703541 13.447072
2025-10-12 0.000365 0.084579 0.537822 1.773873 4.221432 8.195619 14.508642
2025-10-19 0.000009 0.062602 0.486302 1.731002 4.284530 8.515150 15.325165
2025-10-26 NaN 0.045428 0.439759 1.689989 4.345489 8.830749 16.141549
2025-11-02 NaN 0.035599 0.416460 1.700311 4.501358 9.302043 17.200516
2025-11-09 NaN 0.024231 0.373297 1.651116 4.537388 9.576511 17.964965
2025-11-16 NaN 0.021332 0.376059 1.724456 4.817228 10.260528 19.367678
2025-11-23 NaN 0.015911 0.355513 1.729338 4.959232 10.717088 20.427583
2025-11-30 NaN 0.014928 0.367716 1.829832 5.299725 11.515263 22.028890
2025-12-07 NaN 0.012801 0.367906 1.894645 5.569098 12.198211 23.460834
2025-12-14 NaN 0.009964 0.356941 1.923927 5.765333 12.760215 24.711973
2025-12-21 NaN 0.006384 0.328357 1.892876 5.831790 13.099745 25.618353